Working Group 3: Analysis and forecasting
Any dataset that is not being used is a dead dataset. Therefore, the present Action brings together “live” datasets that are actively used in on-going research. Serving as a focal point for the user communities within ENCoRe, WG 3 is the main forum within which applied research can be presented and discussed.
Gerald Schneider and Kristian Gleditsch currently host a prediction competition that aims at improving existing methodology for extrapolating conflict trajectories.